Scenario Land scenarioland.com http://scenarioland.com/users/recommendations/Scenarioland en-us Garbage Spiders: Future Robots that Efficiently Piece Together and Monetize the Past <p>Atop a garbage heap amidst the expansive Westchester Landfill an <a target="_blank" href="http://www.irobot.com">iRobot</a> Refuse Quantifier (iRQ) deftly went about its lucrative business.</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2100/Data_Mining_Spider.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2102/garbage-quant-bot-530.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p><em>Credit card receipt: inconclusive. Candy wrapper: M&#38;M logo, no fingerprint. Check fragment: inconclusive. Candy wrapper: M&#38;M logo, no fingerprint. Candy wrapper: Almond Joy, smudged fingerprint, image stored to temporary cache. Comb: zoom, hair strand: 92% match. Load level 2 protocols. Letter fragment: stamp fragment, zoom, puncture, contaminated sample. Product box fragment: Nintendo Wii logo, burnt, no data. Shredded tax documents: inconclusive, coordinates tagged in case of reassembly contingent on identity correlation.</em></p> <p>The mechanical spider legs pumped and the little scavenger-bot systematically inched left, establishing a better focus point for its frontal laser array. The iRQ began scanning the next set of coordinates.</p> <p><em>Tax document fragments continued. Shredded letters &#8211; stamp, saliva, contaminated. Faded notebook: pen indentations still palpable, scanning Page 1, correlation 18%. Load notebook sequence.</em></p> <p>Shifting the bulk of its weight to its hind legs, the spider freed up the instrument-loaded fore-pincers and carefully commenced flipping pages.</p> <p><em>Page 2: read ink, map indents, cross-reference Page 1, revise correlation, 64% &#8211; nearing identity threshold. Flip. Page 3: read ink, unique phrase discovered, initiate semantic sub-routine #22. Page 4: undecipherable complex symbols, snapshot, map indents, revise correlation&#8230; Sub-routine results registered. Revise correlation, 69%. Resume indent correlation, 73%, identity threshold reached. Regional identity match: subject #D471D-MZ. Persistent video commence. Ping spiders. Stream information to local node.</em></p> <p>An identity match for a primary target had been established! Power surged from the tertiary battery outward as the spider maxed both input and broadcast. But something was wrong. The swarm network was not responding. Thus it was highly probable that the iRQ was now invisible to its peers and ultimately its owner.</p> <p><em>Re-broadcast for 3 seconds. No ping back. Defensive algorithm, blend. Scan for disruption, risk assessment. Attempt new frequencies. Multiple frequencies inoperable. 84% deliberate disruption, 62% location awareness, evasive algorithm.</em></p><br />Category: Security<br />Year: 2020<br />Tags: retroquant, retroactivequantification, information, mining, datamining, landfill, refuse, garbage, spider, robot, robotics, robotic Alvis Brigis Wed, 15 Oct 2008 18:30:42 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1045 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1045 The Next Great Political Debate of the Future? http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1646 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1646 <p>@juldrich &#8211; Hmm, that is a tough question to answer. Right now, we are in wars with hard-liners (Al-Qeada) who do not like modern society one bit. The Vatican is now concerned about &#8216;enhancement&#8217; and things of that nature too.</p> <p>I think it&#8217;s best to look as history as a guide &#8211; It&#8217;s not going to be peaceful, in the sense that the world has never transitioned peacefully into any era &#8211; look at the industrial age. We already have had 2 world w... Covus Mon, 16 Feb 2009 06:15:00 -0500 Will the Next Google be a Prosumer-Based Quantification Company? <p>To scale and dominate as quickly as Google has, a new company will need to generate serious end-user value, monetize effecively, and take a new web-based approach to human resources.&nbsp; One such structure might be an organization specializing in <a href="../show/1495-2009-prosumers-will-proliferate-as-old-media-dies" target="_blank">prosumer</a>-based <a href="../show/1591-total-systems-quantification-toward-the-everything-graph" target="_blank">quantification</a> (structured crowd-sourced info mining) that can expand and contract quickly by paying citizen quantifiers for quality content that they input (think adsense, but more structured and directed from the outset).&nbsp; I imagine that this sort of company could catalyze big, fast economic growth and play an important role in generating positive-sum network value as we move further into the acceleration era.</p> <p>To get the discussion of such a possibility rolling here's a speculative timeline of such a company (2011-2015) that I've cleverly dubbed "Quantification Company":<br /> <br /> <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/3452/abacus.jpg" height="171" alt="abacus.jpg" style="float: right;" width="258" /><strong>2011 - Launch:</strong> A logical outgrowth of flash mobs, open mapping parties, and steadily rising prosumerism, the Quantification Company (QC) was created in 2011 with the mission of "organizing and accelerating the comprehensive quantification of Earth's most valued systems."&nbsp; The for-profit organization relied on a small core of programmers, salespeople and community managers to catalyze quantification cascades, better known as Data Swarms, for a large variety of clients, but mostly municipalities and large corporations.&nbsp; Early efforts were kept simple and focused mostly on the rapid and/or real-time HD video mapping of U.S. cities, national parks, and other under-quantified areas of interest.&nbsp; Traffic-based fees were paid out to citizen quantifiers who captured and uploaded the best geographic footage and/or commentary.&nbsp; Though they were slightly nervous at the ambition and direction of the QC, competitors like Google, Yahoo and Wikipedia were happy to see traffic and content flow through their systems.<strong><br /></strong></p><br />Category: Information<br />Year: 2015<br />Tags: quant, quantification, quantify, nextgoogle, google, information Alvis Brigis Thu, 12 Feb 2009 21:38:00 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1645 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1645 When do you think you will be beamed through a teleportation device? http://scenarioland.com/polls/show_results/54 http://scenarioland.com/polls/show_results/54 In the 2030s<br />By 2050<br />Probably by 2100 futuretalk Thu, 13 Mar 2008 13:28:25 -0400 3M forms Renewable Energy Divison to evolve cleantech materials for energy generation and management http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1618 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1618 <p>3M is a world class advanced materials Innovation Company. They have already developed, demonstrated and achieved over 7300 hours with their membrane electrode assembly which exceeds the <span class="caps">DOE 2010</span> target for fuel cell durability.</p> dni24405 Tue, 03 Feb 2009 20:53:00 -0500 Regenerative Medicine Wipes Out Degenerative Diseases <p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:DoNotOptimizeForBrowser /> </w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--> Once <a href="http://www.foresight.org/roadmaps/Jan2008Comments.html">nanotechnology</a>, <a href="http://www.globalchange.com/stemcells2.htm">stem cell research</a>, and <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_UoReSgz84" target="_blank">genetic engineering</a> were able to <a href="http://www.positivefuturist.com/default-blog.asp?Display=945">converge upon the same laboratories</a> it became clear that a wide variety of deadly and debilitative diseases share their origin: damaged or failing tissues, organs and bodily systems.&nbsp; Some are chronic due to aging, others are more acute, but they have correlated pathologies after all.&nbsp; The interrelationships between the biggest 20th century killers of humankind became astonishingly clear, as did the road to the regenerative medicine to cure nearly all of them.<img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/3290/RespiroVik4.jpg" alt="RespiroVik4.jpg" /></p><br />Category: Biotechnology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: technology, future, health, medicine, biochemistry, genetics, genetic, engineering, nanotechnology, nanomedicine, regenerative, nanotech, stem, cells, aging, disease, space, exploration, ocean, colony, colonies Adam Cutsinger Wed, 07 Jan 2009 21:10:40 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1513 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1513 Intelligence Rising: Climbing the Stairs of Abstraction http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1518 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1518 <p>&#8220;But a very simple and plausible explanation of Flynn Effect is greater familiarity with multiple-choice questions and experience with brain-teaser IQ problems.&#8221;</p> <p>The naysayer speaks. You almost sound as though you&#8217;re in denial, but the first seven words of your sentence betray the fact that you are just speculating. On the other hand, Alvis presented a lot of detail here.</p> <p>If you&#8217;d actually done a challenging multiple choice exam, you&#8217;d know... CptSunbeam Wed, 07 Jan 2009 15:20:21 -0500 Earth 2100 Game Imagines "Perfect Storm" Catastrophe Scenario <p>I wouldn't have predicted ABC News going all bleak futurist, but they did.&nbsp; <a href="http://earth2100.tv/" target="_blank">Earth 2100</a> is a massive online roleplaying game that starts out with global turmoil and devastation.&nbsp; And they're going prime time with it.<img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/3256/earth_bg.jpg" alt="Earth2100" /></p> <p>The project is pretty ambitious, but considering the recent popularity of games like <a href="http://www.superstructgame.org/" target="_blank">Superstruct</a> and <a href="http://secondlife.com/?v=1" target="_blank">Second Life</a>, there should be no doubt that participation will be high.&nbsp; To participate you need to record a short fictional video depicting something in 2015, then, based on those submissions, the ABC News people will design a scenario for 2050, then 2070 and finally 2100.</p><br />Category: Metaverse<br />Year: 2015<br />Tags: earth2100, abc, news, roleplaying, games, futurism, futurist, catastrophes, perfect, storm, future, environmental, issues, green, energy, alternative, fuels Adam Cutsinger Wed, 31 Dec 2008 01:59:31 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1506 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1506 Space Program Reinvigorated with Expansive Space-based Solar Energy Policy <p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:DoNotOptimizeForBrowser /> </w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--></p> <!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><! /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} --> <!--[endif]--> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/3202/c.jpg" height="409" alt="c.jpg" width="437" /></p> <p>Many people will say that pursuing a<span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;"> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_satellite">space-based solar power</a> </span></span>energy campaign is too ambitious, that there are more immediate solutions to get us through our economic/energy crisis until a time when spaced-aged, science fiction-inspired future tech can be safely explored further.&nbsp; They might say that we already have a head start with nuclear, oil and coal, as well as other greener alternatives like wind, water and Earthbound solar.&nbsp; They would be dead wrong.<span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp; <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YiU9MibyBJ0">The truth is...</a></span></span></p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: alternative, energy, solar, power, space, based, panels, satellites, jaxa, nasa, nss, nsso, obama, environmental, solutions, green Adam Cutsinger Wed, 24 Dec 2008 00:23:37 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1486 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1486 Beta’s Eyes <p><i>At some point in the not-so-distant future, somewhere on planet Earth&hellip;</i> <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/2708/underwatertram.jpg" /></p> <p>Beta Bogdanovsky&rsquo;s Italian Cācio-model translator spoke with a decidedly male monotone, and had the vocabulary, albeit in 13 languages, of a 3rd grader. Her dog&rsquo;s translator was nearly as well spoken. Then again, T&oacute;se was a smart dog, an Illyrian sheepdog whose eyes expressed more care than those of most people, and he almost certainly had the capacity to communicate on levels beyond the short sentences programmed into his collar.</p> <p>&ldquo;Iz vee <span class="caps">NEH</span> tuh,&rdquo; she said in Bulgarian to a rotund bearded man blocking access to the window seat next to him. A roundish silver and gold box hung from a beaded chain around her neck, and a small bas-relief profile of the Roman god Mercury spoke the Greek, &ldquo;Syghnomi.&rdquo;</p> <p><i>Excuse me.</i></p> <p>The man&rsquo;s posture shifted to make way even before he looked up, and when he did lift his head he was eye to eye with T&oacute;se. Expressionlessly he made a symbolic attempt to scoot his plastic bags out of the aisle, and Beta sided into the seat, setting her gear on the floor between her feet. T&oacute;se sat on his haunches in front of them both. Beta wondered why it was that people could not seem to rein it in in crowded public places and on trains.</p> <p>As the <span class="caps">ARMA</span> Speed Tram pulled away from the passenger bay, the lights in the tramcar faded slightly as they always did between stations, and Beta closed her eyes and relaxed her neck, as she always did when she was commuting. Bitoli was five stops from the sea, as the tram tunneled through the Korab and Pindus Mountains, and then there were six more on the other side of the water before reaching Monopoli. This trip would be an opportunity to shut her eyes for approximately 2 hours, which was a very good thing, because Beta&rsquo;s eyes were very tired.</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: future, fiction, nanotechnology, contact, lenses, cell, phones, italy, albania, macedonia, bulgarian, greek, translator, animal, speed, train, tram, light, rail, scenario, science Adam Cutsinger Sun, 23 Nov 2008 02:49:05 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1333 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1333 Cryo-Pet™ Ensures Your Animals Won't Mind Extended Travel <p>Worried about how Fluffy will handle being in the cargo hold at 35,000 feet? For just $1,780 you can purchase a Cryo-Pet™ which uses the latest cryonic technology to put your pet into a gentle slumber.</p> <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2692/Cryo_Pet_Chamber_Small.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>Although the operation of such a device may seem rather daunting, Cryotranz™ hopes that by combining their newest cryo-breakthroughs with eye-appealing design that cryonics will move past the image the industry has of <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/sciencenotfiction/2008/11/14/eleventh-hour-they-only-freeze-the-heads/">just freezing the heads</a> of the rich and break into the mass consumer world.</p> <p><strong>How does it work?</strong></p> <p>On the side of Cryo-Pet™ you&#8217;ll find a &#8220;Pre-Cryo Preparation Kit&#8221; which contains all you need for putting your animal into a suspended state.</p> <p>First, a breathing nozzle is used to deliver two different chemicals to your animal. One is a drug which will knock your pet out for easy handling, the second is a chemical which enters into the blood stream and begins slowing the metabolism of your animal. The effects only last for about thirty minutes in case you change your mind.</p> <p>After your animal is asleep, place him or her into the chamber and close the door. A button will light when the door has been locked and his or her metabolism and breathing has stopped. Cryo-Pet™ is then ready to begin the freezing process.</p> <p><strong>What happens during the freezing process?</strong></p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: cryogenics, cryo, pet, cryopet, freezing, metabolism, animal, transportation, travel, agent, freeze John Heylin Thu, 20 Nov 2008 19:21:17 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1325 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1325 Is Turning to the Open Sea the Future of Freedom? <p>As technology makes communication and perhaps even sovereignty more fluid will humans flock to the sea to realize such benefits?</p> <p>Parti Friedman, Executive Director of the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.seasteading.org/">Sea Steading Institute</a>, paints a future scenario in which modular ocean-based living transforms government, democracy and, most importantly, quality of life.</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/vira_9sKYkg&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/vira_9sKYkg&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center><br />Category: The Home<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: seastedding, patrifriedman, seasteddingorg, ocean, sea, water, sovereignty Alvis Brigis Thu, 13 Nov 2008 12:29:58 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1276 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1276 Sarah Palin & The Singularity <p>What would Sarah Palin do in the event of a sudden unexpected Singularity?</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/pIUWXNq5aLg&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/pIUWXNq5aLg&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center><br> <p><em>This is Part 2 of the Scenario Land Singularity Series, animated through <a target="_blank" href="http://www.xtranormal.com">Xtranormal</a>. Part 1 can be found</em> <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/1234">here</a> .</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: video, sarahpalin, palin, singularity, singularitymovie, kurzweil Alvis Brigis Fri, 07 Nov 2008 10:11:39 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1234 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1234 Ray Kurzweil: The Singularity is Not a Religion <p>At last week&#8217;s Singularity Summit, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.futureofgadgets.com">Future of Gadgets</a> Editor <a target="_blank" href="http://www.memebox.com/futureblogger/public_blog_post/John+Heylin">John Heylin</a> had the opportunity to ask a swarmed Ray Kurzweil, the face of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.google.com/url?sa=U&#38;start=3&#38;q=http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html%3Fprintable%3D1&#38;usg=AFQjCNH2jVX8uyuSC_fiqko01TOKyPnOpA">exponential change</a> and the <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity">Singularity</a>, one question. As I scrambled to pull out my flip cam to capture the moment, he cut straight to the heart:</p> <p><em>Do you feel the Singularity has become its own religious movement inside the science community?</em></p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/CLy0tTfw8i0&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/CLy0tTfw8i0&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>Kurzweil began his response by acknowledging that though there are some people who seek the rapture according to their own preferences, that &#8220;the idea of the Singularity did not start from religion.&#8221; Instead the concept sprang from &#8220;over 30 years of technology trends research.&#8221;</p> <p>But he did admit that it can seem similar to some of the concepts contained in religion:</p> <p>&#8220;Some of the ideas look like a way of transcending our limitations. You can argue that&#8217;s what technology does in general, and given that it&#8217;s exponential it ultimately feels supposedly transcendent, so people use words like rapture.&#8221;</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: singularity, kurzweil, raykurzweil, singularitysummit Alvis Brigis Thu, 06 Nov 2008 21:52:16 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1231 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1231 How Many Pardons Will George W. Bush Award in the Coming Months? <p>Now that the 2008 U.S. presidential election has been settled it&#8217;s time to turn our attention to not just the next four years, but also the next 2 months. During this span the White House and Vice President&#8217;s Mansion will be non-stop flurry of activity. Documents will be stored, or shredded. New executive orders and signing statements will be generated. And presidential pardons and commutations will be awarded.</p> <p>To date, George W. Bush has <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Signing_statements">issued 157 pardons</a> and commuted 6 people, including the infamous <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I._Lewis_%22Scooter%22_Libby">Scooter Libby</a>. This already places him ahead of nine U.S. Presidents, mostly single-termers, on the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.infoplease.com/us/government/presidential-pardons-1789-present.html">list</a>, but well behind Ulysses S. Grant (1332) and war-time leaders such as Harry Truman (2044), Woodrow Wilson (2480), and the all-time leader <span class="caps">FDR</span> (3687).</p> <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2500/Bush-Pardons-530.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>So how many pardons will W. award when all is said and done? It seems very likely that he will exceed his predecessor, Bill Clinton&#8217;s 456. But is it possible that he will eclipse <span class="caps">FDR</span>&#8217;s mammoth total? Judging by the way this administration has danced with the law (for good or for ill), is such a final flourish all that unthinkable?</p> <p><em>Edit: Thanks to Will for pointing out that Grant was not in fact a war-time President, though he did serve as general during the Civil War.</em></p><br />Category: Government<br />Year: 2009<br />Tags: pardon, pardons, president, presidentialpardon, presidentialpardons, bush, w, georgewbush Alvis Brigis Thu, 06 Nov 2008 10:56:58 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1222 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1222 Looking Back: How the Nanobama Administration Accelerated Technology <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/2460/530nanobamas_by_john_hart.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>Ever since <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fullerene">buckyballs</a> were discovered in 1986, an event that liberated nanotechnology from being an on-paper-only concept and graduated it into a hands-on (or at least electron microscope-on) practice, nanotechnology has been gaining momentum exponentially, despite aggressive anti-tech litigation.</p> <p>In 2009 the <span class="caps">EPA</span> was sued by a collection of tech corporations for failing to enforce <a target="_blank" href="http://pubs.acs.org/cen/news/86/i45/8645notw6.html">federal restrictions</a> on the import and development of carbon nanotubes imposed one year earlier, and for completely failing to make any laws whatsoever regarding other similar carbon-based materials or those of other metals like titanium-dioxide and silver. Although the <span class="caps">EPA</span> was cleared of any wrong-doing, the following year three more laws were initiated, and several companies and research facilities were fined.</p> <p>But then, in 2010, President Obama reversed the ban on stem cell research enacted by former president George W. Bush, stating, &#8220;The potential benefits greatly outweigh the moral dilemma. It is not for me to say whether God would have us utilize a dead fetus. But I do believe God would ask us to help to save the sick and dying, if there was any way we could.&#8221;</p> <p>In his famous 2012 re-election speech that earned him the nickname Nanobama, he said:</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: 2014<br />Tags: nanobama, obama, barack, nanotech, nanotechnology, carbon, nanotubes, cnts, tech, technology, bucky, fuller, buckminster, r, balls, fullerenes Adam Cutsinger Thu, 06 Nov 2008 00:03:23 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1220 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1220 Intel CTO Rattner: Wireless Power Likely to Produce Devices that Run Infinitely <p>Intel <span class="caps">CTO</span> <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Rattner">Justin Rattner</a> paints a scenario in which humans have access to &#8220;computers, and cameras, and phones that run infinitely&#8221;, relating that the feasibility and demand for such devices has spurred Intel to seriously research the underlying technologies that could spawn such a future reality.</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/F9wv-0uy_C0&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/F9wv-0uy_C0&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>Rattner says Intel has been coming at wireless power &#8220;in a number of ways&#8221;, first from this notion of &#8220;scavenging free energy &#8230; from the environment to power all sorts of sensing devices&#8221; that broadcast data as they filled up with sufficient energy, but more recently through &#8220;injecting energy into the environment &#8230; particularly at this idea of coupled magnetic resonance circuits as a way to transmit power in a perfectly safe way.&#8221;</p> <p>With such a heavyweight company devoting real-deal R&#38;D dollars to wireless power one has got to wonder when well start seeing some serious breakthroughs and if, eventually, pervasive power that enables always-on pervasive computing, sensing, and production could become a human reality.</p><br />Category: Energy<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: wirelesspower, intel, intelcto, justinrattner, rattner, beams, beamedpower Alvis Brigis Tue, 04 Nov 2008 10:30:27 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1195 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1195 Virtual Going Out is the New Going Out <p>Crossposted from <a href="http://superconcepts.blogspot.com">SuperConcepts</a>.</p> <p>A &#8216;Virtual&#8217; Escape From Economic Pain: <a target="_blank" href="http://www.forbes.com/ebusiness/2008/10/09/virtual-world-economy-tech-ebiz-cx_mji_1010virtual.html">Forbes</a> <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/234/simulationsforlearning.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>It seems that in these times of economic decline, people don&#8217;t want to forgo the luxuries that they&#8217;ve grown accustomed to over the years, so are choosing to indulge themselves in a virtual manner instead. There&#8217;s certainly a lot to be said for staying home surrounded by cheap entertainment compared with going out and being ripped off and mugged. Could this be the future? As Virtual Reality improves, we&#8217;ll be finding it replacing more and more of the &#8220;Real Life&#8221; things we currently take for granted.</p> <p>Why travel on dangerous, expensive, and environmentally unfriendly airlines when you can immerse yourself in a Virtual holiday? Google Earth and Google Street, not to mention other &#8220;virtual sightseeing&#8221; options have recently taken a lot of big steps towards this. Although virtual reality interfaces have a long way to go before we can experience all the delights of a trip to somewhere beautiful, in the next few years it will be possible to walk down a foreign street on your computer screen, with the realism of a TV documentary. You&#8217;ll be able to go into a real shop, select a real item from a real shelf, and make real purchases from the shops on this street, to be delivered to your door. In Second Life, you can already wander around the accurately recreated streets of Dublin and other major cities. Primitive as it is now, we&#8217;ll soon be taking it for granted.</p> <p>In the very distant future, personal nano-fabrication devices could allow us to recreate the exact tastes and textures of foods available anywhere on Earth. And if not, computer interfaces to our brains will merely simulate the feelings and tastes of eating these exotic cuisines. Whether as part of a virtual reality interface or not, the ability to remotely indulge our senses will surely come from somewhere.</p><br />Category: Culture<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: virtualreality, metaverse, secondlife, vr, entertainment, travel StuartDobson Mon, 03 Nov 2008 12:33:39 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1184 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1184 X-Prize CEO Peter Diamandis Envisions a Race to Claim the Moon <p>As the costs associated with orbital escape and space flight continue to drop the stage will be set for a daring new company to lay claim to parts of the moon and nearby asteroids, posits X-Prize <span class="caps">CEO</span> Peter Diamandis.</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/HU3IszObIoM&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/HU3IszObIoM&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>Diamandis envisions that such a future could produce a &#8220;land rush&#8221; for rights to lunar surface area, as in <a target="_blank" href="http://www.scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1052-the-great-lunar-war-of-2023-2024-helium-3-surface-area-solar-supremacy">this future fiction piece</a>, and asteroid mining rights which could be valued at &#8220;hundreds of billions of dollars&#8221;. He believes such a resource race is likely to &#8220;drive huge investments in launch vehicles, brings the cost down, and open up the future in space that all of us can enjoy.&#8221;</p> <p>Do you agree with such a scenario? Might space industry drive massive economic growth and get us up there along the way?</p><br />Category: Space<br />Year: General<br />Tags: diamandis, peterdiamandis, xprize, xprizefoundation, spaceflight, privatespaceflight, moon, lunar, asteroid, asteroidmining Alvis Brigis Mon, 03 Nov 2008 09:36:29 -0500 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1182 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1182 Robotic Pursuit Squads are a Forgone Conclusion <p>How likely is it that 5 years from now, sometime in 2013, the U.S. government will employ a pack of search robots to track human fugitives, enemy combatants or other persons of interest?</p> <p>Though such an endeavor would mark a serious increase in up-front and maintenance cost, it could also make operations safer for pursuing officers or soldiers and gradually increase the capture success rate. At the same time such a scenario would also thoroughly freak-out an American population increasingly on edge about government intrusion and technological capabilities.</p> <p>Here&#8217;s an example of what such a future might look like, drawn by MemeBox illustrator Lars Olson:</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/2328/Robot-Chase-Swarm-Large-120.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2332/Big_Dog_Original_Pencil_Color2_Ear_Fix_Small.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>As it turns out, just a few days ago the U.S. Army put out <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dodsbir.net/SITIS/display_topic.asp?Bookmark=34565">this call for bids</a> on exactly such a project. Their desired outcome is for some smart folks to:</p> <p><em>Develop a software and sensor package to enable a team of robots to search for and detect human presence in an indoor environment. [and] Develop a software/hardware suit that would enable a multi-robot team, together with a human operator, to search for and detect a non-cooperative human subject.</em></p> <p>If in fact you doubt the near-term likelihood of such a technology suite and program, then look no further than nascent functional technologies such as the surprisingly agile and stable <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/177-darpa-funded-big-dog-robot-moves-almost-like-a-real-dog">Big Dog robot</a> and already marketed <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/510-microdrones-will-transform-low-cost-videography">aerial microdrone cameras</a>.</p> <p>A quick look at these prototype vids should quickly get you on the path to belief:</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: 2013<br />Tags: robot, robotic, pursuit, bigdog, aerialmicrodrones, littledog, bostondynamics Alvis Brigis Tue, 28 Oct 2008 20:41:54 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1154 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1154 Nova Spivack: "Web OS" Midde-Ware Will Transform the Cloud Into Your Personal Distributed Desktop <p>To facilitate more efficient interaction with data and services available in the emerging web <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing">Cloud</a>, we should build a <a target="_blank" href="http://novaspivack.typepad.com/nova_spivacks_weblog/2007/02/steps_towards_a.html">Web OS</a> or &#8220;middle-ware layer developers can write applications to&#8221;, says Twine creator <a target="_blank" href="http://www.twine.com/twine/1p2dqhdx-1jg/nova-spivack-my-public-twine">Nova Spivack</a>. Ideally, such a layer would be &#8220;brand agnostic&#8221; and serve as a neutral &#8220;marketplace for finding and orchestrating [all] services rather than one company&#8217;s services.&#8221;</p> <p>&#8220;The middle-ware should be able to handle this without making me subscribe to anyone&#8217;s proprietary <span class="caps">API</span>,&#8221; paints Spivack, &#8220;So if I say, &#8216;I need to store something,&#8217; the middle-ware layer, this Web OS, should say &#8216;Hmm, where do I get the best deal on storage right now?&#8217; Maybe it&#8217;s Amazon, maybe it&#8217;s Google, maybe it&#8217;s another location.&#8217;&#8221;</p> <p>Clearly such middle-ware would save time and generate other efficiencies, especially in the context of <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/147-worldwide-information-growth-faster-than-previously-estimated">exponential information growth</a>, creating &#8220;a major commercial opportunity&#8221; for the right developer, as Spivack points out.</p> <p>Here&#8217;s the full Web OS scenario as presented by Spivack:</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/_4zfiwdNVWA&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/_4zfiwdNVWA&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>So the question then becomes, which organization will end up building out such a structure?</p> <p>The usual suspects Google and Microsoft immediately pop into mind. Both have made big browser plays and understand the significance of The Cloud and human attention.</p> <p>But perhaps it will prove too large or complex an effort or present a fundamental conflict of interest for such companies, in which case open-source efforts facilitated by the likes of the Mozilla Foundation may prove most effective.</p><br />Category: Information<br />Year: General<br />Tags: spivack, novaspivack, singularitysummit, ss08, thecloud, cloud, webos, os, operatingsystem Alvis Brigis Mon, 27 Oct 2008 08:44:46 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1138 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1138 X-Prize CEO Peter Diamandis Announces the Formation of a SINGULARITY UNIVERSITY <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/2276/singularity-summit-banner-5.jpg" alt="" /> <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2294/singuniv2.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>So it is true! <a target="_blank" href="http://www.xprize.org/blogs/dr-peter-diamandis">Peter Diamandis</a>, Chair and <span class="caps">CEO</span> of the increasingly mighty X-Prize Foundation, and some high-level folks are working on something big called a &#8220;Singularity University.&#8221; Who else could be involved? It seems like Ray Kurzweil would be a prime candidate, especially considering their back-to-back presentations at today&#8217;s <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com">Summit</a>.</p> <p>Might this be a first step toward a Singularity X-Prize? :) What do you think a &#8220;Singularity University&#8221; might consist of?</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: singularity, singularityuniversity Alvis Brigis Sun, 26 Oct 2008 00:03:53 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1132 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1132 Marshall Brain: Robots to eliminate 50 million jobs <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2288/img_0438.jpg" alt="" /> <a target="_blank" href="http://www.marshallbrain.com/">Marshall Brain</a>, founder of How Stuff Works, gave a presentation on how robots can easily eliminate half the workforce of the United States fairly soon.</p> <p>He said that by 2042 there will be $500 desktop computers with computing power equal to the human brain. We can then put this into a robot which will have the power to do jobs that millions of people hold today. Robots can easily take over education, transportation, construction and retail jobs.</p> <p>For example: Walmart alone has over 1.2 million employees, performing easy jobs. If robots take the jobs, &#8220;a million jobs at Walmart will evaporate.&#8221;</p> <p>But what about the job market?</p> <p>6.5 million in construction will be gone. 16.4 million in manufacturing will be gone. Retail/wholesale will lose 20 million jobs. Drivers will lose 3 million jobs. Education to lose 2 million.</p> <p>&#8220;Half the jobs in the economy right now we can see robots taking over.&#8221;</p> <p>He ended with the question displayed &#8220;What if 50-million people became unemployed?&#8221; He then said &#8220;there is no doubt these jobs will be gone fairly soon.&#8221; We have to start modifying our economy to deal with the mass unemployed.</p><br />Category: Business & Work<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: marshall, brain, how, stuff, works, robots, workforce, lose, jobs John Heylin Sat, 25 Oct 2008 21:31:59 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1130 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1130 Intel CTO Justin Rattner: Intel is Repsonsible for the Trench Warfare Driving the Singularity <p>Intel <span class="caps">CTO</span> <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Rattner">Justin Rattner</a> acknowledges that &#8220;the Singularity is a nice organizing principle&#8221; and that Intel will be critical to any future scenario in which runaway technology enables massive intelligence. He says Intel is &#8220;responsible for the trench warfare that drives these technologies.&#8221;</p> <center><object height="350" width="425"> <param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/b01Ctz53_44"> </param> <embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/b01Ctz53_44" height="350" width="425"> </embed> </object></center> <p><em>The preceding video was captured at</em> <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com"><span class="caps">SS08</span></a> <em>shortly after Justin&#8217;s presentation.</em></p> <p>Rattner argues that other Moore&#8217;s Law enabled advances in other fields such as Silicon Photonics, Digitial Multi-Radio, Silicon Bio-sensors and Programmable Matter will be instrumental in a possible Singularity.</p> <p>But could exponentially advancing technologies hit a wall?</p> <p>&#8220;We did hit a wall,&#8221; says Rattner, &#8220;We reached the point where we could not thin the gate material any more. So, in essence, Silicon Gate <span class="caps">CMOS</span> ended last year.&#8221;</p> <p>But engineers were able to develop a work-around: metal gate technology, and they&#8217;re also planning subsequent generations that will enable computer speeds to continue their astronomical growth.</p> <p>This prompts the Rattner&#8217;s next question, &#8220;How do you define Moore&#8217;s Law?&#8221;</p> <p>Indeed. Is Moore&#8217;s Law still relevant, or is a broader law of accelerating computation in effect.</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: rattner, singularity, ss08, ingularitysummit Alvis Brigis Sat, 25 Oct 2008 20:01:02 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1129 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1129 Nova Spivack Discusses the Evolution of Collective Intelligence (MemeBox Exclusive Video) <p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.twine.com">Twine</a> creator Nova Spivack believes we are evolving collective consciousness through the web. Here&#8217;s a summary of his ruminations on the subject (shot immediately following his thought-provoking presentation at <span class="caps">SS08</span> this morning):</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/fvd5AM7v-0s&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/fvd5AM7v-0s&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center><br />Category: Information<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: spivack, novaspivack, singularitysummit, ss08 Alvis Brigis Sat, 25 Oct 2008 18:16:05 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1124 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1124 Nova Spivack: We Are Evolving Collective Intelligence Through the Web (SS08 Take-Aways) <p><img src="http://www.twine.com/_b/a238m2rjhggv5k1f23c8yd6vkd99h/b0kw7kcd088fsf3n6v140p8prw5plhcvjwqpr7h077/a238m2rjhggv5k1f23c8yd6vkd99h/b0kw7kcd088fsf3n6v140p8prw5plhcvjwqpr7h077/Kim_iphone_4_022.jpeg" alt="" /> Nova Spivack, <span class="caps">CEO</span> of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.radarnetorks.com">Radar Networks</a> and creator of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.twine.com">Twine</a>, has recently written about the notion of a <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/915-nova-spivack-s-web-as-world-observation-leads-us-further-down-the-rabbit-hole">Global Body</a> that compliments the Global Brain.</p> <p>This morning at the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com">Singularity Summit</a>, he posed the question, &#8220;Will the Global Brain have its own mind?&#8221;</p> <p>Here are some of my take-aways from his excellent presentation (memebox interview forthcoming):</p> <p>&#8220;Are we actually space-time machines?&#8221;</p> <p>&#8220;Intelligence will spread throughout the universe. ... The cosmos is an intelligence spreading machine.&#8221;</p> <p>&#8220;The distinction between actual and virtual will just go away. ... It won&#8217;t be Second Life anymore, it will just be First Life.&#8221;</p> <p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t really know how the body and mind will change.&#8221;</p> <p>Buys Vinge&#8217;s assertion of &#8220;Superhuman intelligence in 30 years.&#8221;</p> <p><b>Four scenarios through which super-human intelligence can occur:</b></p> <p>- computers themselves become awake<br> - large computer networks wake up (Skynet)<br> - interfaces become so connected that effectively each individual awakens<br> - human intellect is enhanced by biological and other means</p> <p>So, how to give a group a sense of itself, bring self-consciousness to a group?</p><br />Category: Information<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: spivack, novaspivack, singularitysummit, ss08 Alvis Brigis Sat, 25 Oct 2008 17:37:11 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1123 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1123 Vernor Vinge says Singularity by 2030 Still Believable <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2280/img_0425.jpg" alt="" /> In the first talk of the day, Hugo Award-winning Science Fiction Author Vernor Vinge opens up by stating that achieving the Singularity by 2030 is still going to happen.</p> <p>His conviction is very impressive. He states that the Singularity is still on track because Moore&#8217;s Law is still working. If technology continues to exponentially increase, 2030 is his best date.</p> <p>What&#8217;s very interesting is that he made the statement that humans don&#8217;t create tools, we outsource our intellect into our environment. He goes on to explain that biometric modifications in a person will get to the point where our own intellect will barely be visible, only a &#8220;hand on a tiller&#8221; in the vast sea of humanity.</p> <p>A running start to a long day.</p><br />Category: Other<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: vernor, vinge, singularity, 2030, bob, pisani, first, presentation John Heylin Sat, 25 Oct 2008 16:28:29 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1120 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1120 Liveblogging (and Blogging) the Singularity Summit Today - Heylin & Brigis Storm San Jose <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2276/singularity-summit-banner-5.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>Good morning readers! It&#8217;s 7:30am in Mountain View, CA and in just a few hours MemeBox will begin liveblogging and not-so-liveblogging the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com/">2008 Singularity Summit</a>. MemeBox reporter John Heylin (soon to be Future of Gadgets Editor) and I will be storming the festivities to soak up some future-focused speaker presentations and asking anyone and everyone to get on camera to talk about the future, paint some scenarios and specifically make a few predictions for the year 2015. We&#8217;ll scramble and do our best to post these to You Tube and here on Future Blogger as soon as humanly possible, while still experiencing the event.</p> <p>If you&#8217;re also attending (physically or virtually) and would like to post a reaction, summary or video, then we encourage you to add it to the comment threads (yes, you can embed youtube videos and image links) of our ongoing Singularity Summit 2008 pieces!</p> <p>Alright, off to wake up Heylin and head down to San Jose for what&#8217;s sure to be a day full of brain-freezes, vigorous debate and non-stop journalism. If yesterday&#8217;s preceding <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com/program#workshop">SciVestor Workshop</a>, organized and moderated by the capable <a target="_blank" href="http://singinst.org/aboutus/team">Jonas Lamis</a>, serves as an gauge then today should unfold very nicely. Stay tuned&#8230;</p> <p><em>Update #1:</em> Shortly before the summit:</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/E9Xq8zsR5jk&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/E9Xq8zsR5jk&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p><em>Update #2:</em> Multiple Hugo Award winning sci-fi author and coiner of the term &#8220;Singularity&#8221; <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com/program#speaker-vernor-vinge">Vernor Vinge</a> is onstage right now speaking with <a target="_blank" href="http://www.singularitysummit.com/program#speaker-bob-pisani">Bob Pisani</a> about the value of scenario planning in forecasting our future. He insists that scenarios expand our ability to collectively process the future because they open up various options to contemplate.</p> <p>re: the current economic crisis, Vinge believes this can be attributed in part to the outsourcing of more and more of human processes.</p> <p>Discussing the Singularity and Intelligence Amplification &#8211; Vinge concurs with Cascio&#8217;s esimation that technology growth is generally banal, but does not believe a Singularity will be banal &#8211; unless someone has amplified their intelligence to a Super-Human status.</p> <p>re: Post-Singularity Future Fiction &#8211; How do you deal with thinking about super-humanly creatures? Through analogy. Human-like, systems attributes. Vinge is encouraged that much of nature is about cooperation. New life depends on old life. &#8220;It&#8217;s actually a pretty optimistic view.&#8221;</p> <p>Pasani asks about failure scenarios. Vinge, &#8220;A person in America is every day faced with existential threats. ... Embedded networked micro-processors are the biggest economic win over the last 50 years. ... They may be the way the Singularity materializes. ... The become so ubiquitous that they become a &#8216;single failure&#8217; point. ... We don;t know how many people would actually die if somethign like this failed.&#8221;</p> <p>Pasani asks about Disaster Scenarios. Vinge, &#8220;It could be that Killjoy has it right. ... But it could be that Killjoy has it opposite, that in fact the future really, really does need us. ... We are something that can work even if technology goes away.&#8221;</p> <p>Vinge on the likelihood of the Singularity. &#8220;Barring physical catastrophes &#8211; if humanity became extinct it wouldn&#8217;t happen. Nuclear war would pre-empt it.&#8221;</p> <p>Responding to a question from the audience, &#8220;Any time you&#8217;re playing a positive sum game it makes sense to be nice.&#8221; Vinge argues evolution continues in the realm of psychology. &#8220;Culturally I think we&#8217;ve gotten much better in the last 5 centuries. So there&#8217;s reason to be very optimistic.&#8221;</p> <p>On climate change: It&#8217;s an existential threat. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think it by itself is the most existential threat that we face.&#8221;</p><br />Category: Technology<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: singularitysummit, singsummit, singularityinstitute, singularitysummit2008, singularity, futurism, accleratingchange Alvis Brigis Sat, 25 Oct 2008 14:43:26 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1118 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1118 Europeans Make Big Dent in the Auto Industry <p><b> Chicago Tribune, 2012</b><a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2270/green-VWbug.2314jpg.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2270/green-VWbug.2314jpg_thumb.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>According to a June 15 analysis published in the French bi-monthly magazine L&#8217;Auto-Journal, a long-standing car magazine, the European Union will soon no longer be on the short list of the top 3 contributors of greenhouse gases. The French-originated <span class="caps">NAC</span> (Nouvelle Affaire de Carburant) program, widely known as the New Fuel Deal by the English-speaking world, was initially criticized by citizens of nearly every European nation for being an economic fiasco.</p> <p>The brainchild of French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who served a six month stint as EU president, has certainly paid off for the environment, despite the widespread criticism and dire predictions. The Affaire was created by the members of the EU&#8217;s French-led <span class="caps">APRE</span> Summit (Automobile-fabricants pour la Protection et la Régénération de l&#8217;Environment, or <span class="caps">ACRE</span> &#8211; Auto-makers for the Conservation and Regenration of the Environment) in 2011, which formed an impressive international think-tank consisting of automobile manufacturers, leaders in the alternative fuel industry, financial wizards and various government officials. Despite initial opposition from such countries as the Czech Republic and Ireland, the plan was consensually ratified in February, 2010.</p><br />Category: Environment<br />Year: 2011<br />Tags: europe, cars, autos, automobiles, alternative, energy, nicolas, sarkozy, automobile, industry, future, co2, emissions, green, house, gases, environment, environmental, solutions, hybrid, european Adam Cutsinger Fri, 24 Oct 2008 21:20:10 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1117 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1117 Will the New York Times get Sold-Off or Turn to New Media to Save Itslef? <p>Yesterday the New York Times Company announced that it has been so affected by the recent economic downturn that it <a target="_blank" href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/10/new-york-times-nyt-september-was-awful-and-we-might-default-on-our-debt">may default on its debt</a>. Coming on the heels of <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/290-biggest-revenue-drop-since-1950-for-u-s-newspaper-industry">the worst advertising year for newspapers since 1950</a> things are not looking good for the typically stalwart American brand. With the prospect of more financial woes on the horizon, it is conceivable the company will be required to liquidate a significant portion of its assets come the new year.</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2260/HEHF-NYTimes-530.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2260/HEHF-NYTimes-530.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>On the flip side of the coin, this is also a great opportunity for management at the great American newspaper to guide it towards a more situationally appropriate new media model. As upstart blogs rake in the big bucks it&#8217;s about time the New York Times got hip to the times. With a bit of common sense and some luck they company will be able to avoid the sinister fate that awaits former giants such as GM.</p><br />Category: Social Media<br />Year: 2009<br />Tags: newyorktimes, nytimes, newspaper, newspapers, newspaperindustry, news, oled Alvis Brigis Fri, 24 Oct 2008 09:48:26 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1111 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1111 <i>Hookup Maps</i> Mashes Geography & Booty Calls - What Will it Look Like in 2013? <p><a target="_blank" href="http://hookupmaps.com"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2236/hookup-maps-NYC-300.jpg" alt="" /></a> Have a burning desire to hook-up? Thanks to newly launched service <a target="_blank" href="http://hookupmaps.com">Hookup Maps</a>, a site that mashes up Craig&#8217;s List hook-up posts with Google Maps, it just got a bit easier to quickly locate that casual encounter you may be looking for.</p> <p>Considering the persistent human demand for such meetings, I&#8217;m actually a bit surprised it took so long for such a hybrid (see map at right) to launch. But I have no doubt that this and other similar mapping services will catch on very quickly. In fact, some bloggers are already calling for a related <a target="_blank" href="http://lifehacker.com/5067400/plot-casual-encounters-with-hookupmaps"><span class="caps">GPS</span>-enabled iPhone or Android app</a> which, considering how easy it is to create such a program, I expect will be up inside of a month from now.</p> <p>But what about 5 years from now? Here&#8217;s a brief scenario.</p> <p><b>Hook-up Mapping Circa 2013:</b> It&#8217;s Sunday morning and 21-year-old Jacob is itching for some action, having struck out at the local bar the previous night. He turns on his projector wall and accesses his Love Web account. Because he resides in rural, mountainous upstate NY Jacob is a big fan Love Web not only because it enables frequent, safe and exciting rendezvous with the local women and men that line up with his criteria, but also for the money he saves on gas and expensive dates. This helps Jacob to spend more time on his <span class="caps">MIT</span> distance education courses and pursue his true passion, open-ended <span class="caps">MMORG</span>&#8217;s, which serve as a significant source of Jacob&#8217;s scant but growing income.</p><br />Category: Relationships<br />Year: 2013<br />Tags: relationship, hookup, hookups, sex Alvis Brigis Thu, 23 Oct 2008 10:26:20 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1098 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1098 When TV Switches to Digital, it May Alienate Rural Communities <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2228/swamptv.jpg" alt="" /> It has been estimated that about <a target="_blank" href="http://www.tvpredictions.com/abi102208.htm">three million TV viewers</a> will let their sets go black when the digital conversion takes place next February. &#8220;Approximately three million viewers could stop watching their local channels, which would have a serious impact on local TV ratings and their advertising rates.&#8221; About nine million people today have yet to make the conversion to digital broadcasting.</p> <p>So what about rural areas of America?</p> <p>Internet is already hard to get in places &#8220;out in the boonies.&#8221; Some use the words <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_divide">Digital Divide</a> to describe third world countries and their lack of technology. What people fail to realize is that there are places in America that are likewise impoverished.</p> <p>In an article about the town of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.buffalonews.com/cityregion/story/462106.html">Grove, New York</a>, reporter Stephen Watson explains how small towns like these are lacking high-speed internet, cable, and even cellphone service. &#8220;They are part of a growing digital divide between those with access to cutting-edge technology and those without, a gap that cuts along demographic, economic and geographic lines.&#8221; When you consider how much work is done on the internet these days, it really has become a lifeline for many people in remote locations.</p><br />Category: Communication<br />Year: 2009<br />Tags: switch, digital, analog, tv, rural, communities, access, limited John Heylin Wed, 22 Oct 2008 21:31:18 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1096 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1096 2030 Scenarios on Energy, InfoTech, Globalization & Climate Change <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2214/240_scenarios.JPG" alt="" /> Scenarios are stories about the future. They are not predictions or forecasts, but help us explore change and fundamentally different future landscapes.</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.forumforthefuture.org/">The Forum for the Future</a> has partnered with HP Research Labs on a new publication &#8216;Climate Futures responses to climate change in 2030&#8217; to explore the broad social, political, environmental and economic drivers affecting global markets and IT related industry sectors. [<a target="_blank" href="http://www.forumforthefuture.org/files/Climate%20Futures_WEB.pdf">Download 76 page <span class="caps">PDF 6 MB</span></a>]</p> <p>The five scenarios for 2030 include:</p> <p>1. <strong>Efficiency first</strong><br> Rapid innovation in energy efficiency and novel technologies has enabled a low-carbon economy with almost no need for changes in lifestyle or business practice</p> <p>2. <strong>Service transformation</strong><br> A high price of carbon has ushered in a revolution in how people&#8217;s needs are satisfied</p> <p>3. <strong>Redefining progress</strong> <br> New priorities of ‘wellbeing’ and ‘quality of life’ are bubbling up across the world as more sustainable forms of living become established</p> <p>4. <strong>Environmental war economy</strong> <br> Tough measures have been adopted to combat climate change, pushing markets to the very limit of what they can deliver</p> <p>5. <strong>Protectionist world</strong> <br> Globalization has gone into retreat and countries focus on security and access to resources at any cost</p><br />Category: Environment<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: energy, scenarios, globalization Garry Golden Wed, 22 Oct 2008 16:22:41 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1093 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1093 The Future of Intellectual Attribution: Quantifying the Massive Idea Sea Requires Convergence <p><em>Intellectual attribution is far from perfect, but as we systematically quantify the nature of the vast Idea Sea in which we swim, we will also create a more effective and equitable market for new innovations.</em></p> <p>Last week a pair of Nobel Prize winning scientists <a target="_blank" href="http://news.cnet.com/8301-17852_3-10069835-71.html?part=rss&#38;subj=news&#38;tag=2547-1_3-0-20">conceded</a> that much of their research had been based on an earlier study by a geneticist who now drives a shuttle for $8/hour just to keep food on the table, but of course didn&#8217;t go so far as to offer him a share of the $1.5 million prize they&#8217;d been awarded. <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2218/earth-and-servers-305.jpg" alt="" /> This example clearly brings into focus the limits of our current idea attribution economy, a system that clearly isn&#8217;t encouraging a Nobel-caliber scientist to continue innovating for broader social benefit.</p> <p>But rather than jump on the IP- and patent-bashing bandwagon as many bloggers tend to do, I&#8217;d like to explore how our idea attribution system might evolve over the coming decade.</p> <p>First, let me be clear about my definition of the term &#8220;idea&#8221;. Ideas can more specifically be broken down into <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme">memes</a> &#8211; &#8220;ideas or behaviors that can pass from one person to another by learning or imitation&#8221;, <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memeplex">memeplexes</a> &#8211; &#8220;groups of religious, cultural, political, and idealogical doctrines and systems&#8221;, and <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/601-might-temetics-be-the-answer">temes</a> &#8211; &#8220;information copied by books, phones, computers and the Internet&#8221;. These structures co-evolve with humans to ultimately form a massive sea of what we commonly refer to as ideas. Though individuals often combine memes into valuable new memeplexes, no one person can ever truly claim total ownership of a concept that is essentially an outgrowth of the idea sea.</p><br />Category: Education<br />Year: 2018<br />Tags: ideas, idea, innovation, meme, memes, teme, temes, memeplex, memeplexes, attribution, intelligence, ia, intelligenceamplification, knowledge, education Alvis Brigis Wed, 22 Oct 2008 12:21:50 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1090 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1090 US Military wants to play "Starship Troopers" <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2162/starship.jpg" alt="" /> Shane McGlaun over at <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dailytech.com/article.aspx?newsid=13228">DailyTech</a> reports that US government officials are looking into a space-based method of transporting small groups of troops anywhere in the globe within two hours. &#8220;The goal of the program is to be able to insert a team of 13 soldiers anywhere on the globe in two hours.&#8221; Although many have described this as plain fantasy, the surprising thing is that officials are looking to start a program such as this as early as 2019, giving actual implementation a start date of 2030. (Check out the original doc <a target="_blank" href="http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=3772336&#38;c=AME&#38;s=TOP">here</a>)</p> <p>Is this a viable option?</p> <p>It would be pretty handy to have ground forces anywhere you need them in just a few hours. The second an Embassy came under attack or an invasion of a friendly country started, a unit of special forces would be there to help keep a lid on things in the knick of time. And if you think a force of only thirteen wouldn&#8217;t be able to do much, you might want to <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futurescanner/category/Security/new">check out</a> some of the latest stuff the military is working on for the future.</p><br />Category: Security<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: space, military, based, hours, two, 2, suit, marines John Heylin Fri, 17 Oct 2008 21:28:00 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1064 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1064 Geo-Spatially Mapped Life-Lines Will Soon Amplify Our Memories <p>A few years into the future when someone says, &#8220;I think I&#8217;ll use my lifeline,&#8221; they will no longer be referring to <em>Who Wants to be a Millionaire?</em>, but instead their geo-spatially coordinated content history.</p> <p>According to John Schneider, <span class="caps">CTO</span> of clever geo-web annotator <a target="_blank" href="http://www.abaq.us/geo/login.jsp">Abaq.us</a>, we&#8217;re about to experience a powerful convergence of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.raphkoster.com/2007/06/15/what-is-a-virtual-world/">mirror worlds</a> and <a target="_blank" href="http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2007/02/lifelogging_an.php">life-logging</a> that will enable all sorts of interesting applications including community feedback mechanisms and amplified memory.</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/TQuSn5cfj_w&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/TQuSn5cfj_w&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>&#8220;You&#8217;ve been to something like an antique shop last month with your wife, and you just can&#8217;t for the life of you remember where this place was or what the name of it was,&#8221; lays out Schneider, &#8220;But because you&#8217;ve life-logged you can get on your account, you can take the time slider and move it back in time to the place you were. ... Now you project that lifeline on something like Google maps, bring up the Street View, look around and there it is &#8211; there is the place you&#8217;ve been looking for.&#8221; <a target="_blank" href="http://www.abaq.us/geo/login.jsp"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2190/abaqus-logo-200.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>I totally buy that scenario. Do you?</p> <p><em>For more interesting future videos be sure to check out the</em> <a target="_blank" href="http://www.youtube.com/user/memebox">MemeBox YouTube Channel</a></p><br />Category: The Web<br />Year: General<br />Tags: lifelogging, lifelog, mirrorworld, mirrorworlds, virtual, world, geospatial, geo, mapping, virtualearth, googleearth Alvis Brigis Tue, 21 Oct 2008 08:12:01 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1082 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1082 Flash Mobs as Cover for Criminal Activity <p>Witnessing the rapid spread of the <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flash_mob">Flash Mob</a> phenomenon, fueled by emerging driver organizations like <a target="_blank" href="http://improveverywhere.com/">Improv Everywhere</a>, it occurred to me that these increasingly frequent and massive events could be used as cover for various forms of criminal activity. The first scenario that popped into my head was that of a bank robber arranging such a coordinated diversion to cover his or her tracks.</p> <p>For example, imagine if the following flash mob (arranged in San Francisco just two weekends ago) was diverted to surround or walk through a bank or other burglary target:</p> <center><object height="302" width="400"> <param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /> <param name="movie" value="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=2012202&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=1&amp;show_byline=1&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=&amp;fullscreen=1" /> <embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=2012202&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=1&amp;show_byline=1&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=&amp;fullscreen=1" allowscriptaccess="always" height="302" width="400"></embed></object></center> <p>A clever criminal dressed in bright red could then use such a crowd as cover for a quick escape.</p> <p>Just how feasible is such a scenario?</p> <p>As it turns out, a small-scale and version of this plan was successfully executed up in Monroe, Washington just two weeks ago.</p><br />Category: Security<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: flashmob, burglar, thief, burglary, creativeburglar, robbery, armoredcar, crime, criminal Alvis Brigis Mon, 20 Oct 2008 22:20:12 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1079 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1079 For the Upcoming Robot Apocalypse, the First Robot Defense Company <p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.wardefence.com/"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2178/WAR.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>If you&#8217;re worried about the upcoming robot apocalypse featured prominently in movies like iRobot or Terminator, check out this concept of a defense company that deals specifically with the growing robotic threat.</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.wardefence.com/">Weapons Against Robots</a> (WAR) is a defense company that specializes in combating our titanium oppressors. They feature products such as advanced weapon systems, detection systems (that way you won&#8217;t have to train dogs to sniff them out) and &#8220;robo virus&#8221; protection that promises &#8220;real time infiltration, adaption and reporting.&#8221;</p> <p>Although the site is probably just an artistic mock-up or a futurist marketing ploy, it&#8217;s still a kick. Check it out.</p><br />Category: Security<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: robots, robotic, apocalypse, protection, defense, against, company, specializing John Heylin Mon, 20 Oct 2008 14:24:18 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1074 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1074 You Too Will Surf Virtual Halls of the Dead <p><em>The increasing richness of memorial media is a powerful by-product of accelerating change in technology, information and communication. In five years time, both broad public-facing and private 3d memorial media has a good chance of taking off, gradually catalyzing a shift in the way we interact with history and our dearly departed.</em></p> <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2170/hollywood-forever-life-stor.jpg" alt="" /> How do we properly remember and honor the dead? Our cultural answer to this question has changed over the millennia alongside with the invention of memory-enhancing technologies such as symbols, spoken language, writing, photography, video, digital information and the web.</p> <p>Now the trend continues as powerful new disruptors such as social media, semantic search, virtual worlds and mirror worlds allow us to assemble, aggregate and interact with information about the dearly departed in surprising new ways.</p> <p>On the most basic level, crowd-edited text-based structures like Wikipedia have already catalyzed an explosion of biographical data capture and made possible a growing niche of specialized human memorial websites.</p> <p>Similarly, account-driven portals like Geanealogy.com&#8217;s <a target="_blank" href="http://www.genealogy.com/vcem_welcome.html">Virtual Cemetery Project</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.mycemetery.com">MyCemetery</a>, and <a target="_blank" href="http://worldgardens.com/">World Gardens</a> have been growing in popularity and each lay claim to being &#8220;The World&#8217;s First Online Memorial and Virtual Cemetery&#8221; or such.</p> <p>In the physical world, progressive cemetery <a target="_blank" href="http://www.hollywoodforever.com/Hollywood/">Hollywood Forever</a>, which boasts the densest concentration of celebrity gravesites, has sparked a media memorial trend by displaying actors&#8217; hilight reels beside their tombs. (Yes, for a pretty steep price you too can purchase your very own Lifestories Kiosk.)</p><br />Category: Culture<br />Year: 2013<br />Tags: retroquant, retroactivequantification, cemetery, memorial, memorials, virtualcemetery, virtualmemorial, secondlife, 3dvirtual, virtualreality, 3dmedia, newmedia Alvis Brigis Mon, 20 Oct 2008 10:49:24 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1071 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1071 7 Sci-Fi Stories in which Biomass Saves Humanity's Ass <p>There&#8217;s an interesting post over at the Energy Roadmap titled <a target="_blank" href="http://theenergyroadmap.com/futureblogger/show/1028-investors-betting-on-biological-future-for-biofuels-we-can-grow-energy">Investors betting on biological future for biofuels &#8211; We can &#8216;grow&#8217; energy!</a>.</p> <p>It got me thinking — is our salvation really in the hands of these small microbials? Do science fiction writers have it right? <br> <br> <center><strong>War of the Worlds</strong></center> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/-c0Myr_sYsE&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1&#38;color1=0x3a3a3a&#38;color2=0x999999"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/-c0Myr_sYsE&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1&#38;color1=0x3a3a3a&#38;color2=0x999999" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> An invasion of Martians threaten to obliterate humanity. Humans are forced to run, unable to combat the technologically advanced tripods the Martians are manning. All seems lost until tripods start falling down for unknown reasons. Eventually, all the Martians have died due to a lack of immunities against Earth&#8217;s bacteria. <br> <br> <center><strong>Red Planet</strong></center> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/LdWGDBY4zjQ&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1&#38;color1=0x3a3a3a&#38;color2=0x999999"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/LdWGDBY4zjQ&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1&#38;color1=0x3a3a3a&#38;color2=0x999999" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> Earth, due to overpopulation and pollution, has seeded Mars with oxygen-producing algae in the hope of being able to eventually move to the planet. Astronauts are sent to the planet to find out why oxygen production has stalled and discover a native bug which feeds on the algae and produces oxygen. Running out of air, the astronauts remove their helmets expecting to die but find oxygen. <br> <br></p><br />Category: Biotechnology<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: algae, bacteria, plankton, biomass, energy, food, science, fiction, video, movie John Heylin Tue, 14 Oct 2008 21:19:54 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1034 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1034 Alone Perhaps, But Never Lonely <p><i>All the news not-yet fit to use</i></p> <p><b><span class="caps">PRESS ANNOUNCEMNET</span></b> &#8211; <span class="caps">FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE</span></p> <p>ScenarioLand Ventures, a subsidiary of FB/MEMEBOX Ent, are pleased to announce the formation of a joint undertaking with the WillWay Pty line of Virtual Agents. The WillWay Avatars (an early description of this concept was provided to <span class="caps">FBNET</span> readers by regular FB contributor <a href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/170-avatars-will-help-us-navigate-tomorrow-s-electronic-maze">Richard Pelletier</a>) have all been certified as having passed the Turing Test, so humans in solitary circumstance will be able to arrange continuous company with electronic companions. These <img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com/memebox/uploads/1514/digital-face-320.jpg" alt="" /> virtual agents are programmed to engage their host in intellectually stimulating fashion in the areas of interest determined by each customer.</p> <p>Additionally, WillWay Avatars are programmed with a complex of precautionary response triggering thresholds that, when measured in toto, provide a reliable and secure monitor of the contracted individual&#8217;s immediate health or other condition (the pre-AI structure upon which this system is designed was first brought to <span class="caps">FBNET</span> users attention by <a href="http://www.scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1048-the-symbiont-scenario-futurist-john-smart-on-the-mental-health-benefits-of-remote-peer-networks#fold"><span class="caps">FBNET</span> Editor Alvis Brigis</a>).</p><br />Category: Relationships<br />Year: General Will Fri, 17 Oct 2008 00:54:18 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1055 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1055 The Singularity Movie (Web Release) <p>Move over <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil">Ray Kurzweil</a>, here&#8217;s the Scenario Land version of the upcoming <a target="_blank" href="http://singularity.com/themovie/">Singularity Movie</a>. And guess what &#8211; the <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity">Singularity</a> just happened!</p> <p><em>Note: Make sure the movie loads fully before watching. I am trying to upload it to YouTube, but the feature is still buggy as Xtra Normal is in beta.</em></p> <center><embed src = "http://www.xtranormal.com/players/jwplayer.swf" width = "500" height = "350" allowscriptaccess = "always" allowfullscreen = "true" flashvars = "height=350&#38;width=500&#38;file=http://video.xtranormal.com/highres/952f1bdc-9bf5-11dd-9c51-001b210acd5f_3.flv&#38;image=http://video.xtranormal.com/highres/952f1bdc-9bf5-11dd-9c51-001b210acd5f_3_0.jpg&#38;searchbar=false&#38;autostart=false"></embed></center> <p>Using the new <a target="_blank" href="http://www.xtranormal.com">Xtra Normal</a> platform, the above video took just 30 minutes to produce. This forward-step in super-user-friendly machinima brings us just a little closer to a scenario that I like to call The Toon Point, the time when virtual-world-generated video equals the average quality of a Saturday morning cartoon created in 2005. <em>(Why 2005? Because that&#8217;s roughly when I began thinking about the notion of a Toon Point.)</em></p> <p>Ever since my days in the West Hollywood Metaverse House, as my buddy and former roommate Jerry Paffendorf likes to call it, I&#8217;ve been a fan of virtual worlds and looking forward to The Toon Point. Due to their ability to incorporate and network other communication technologies, the potential of virtual worlds as an Interactive Communication Technology is simply astounding, and is reflected in their rapid diffusion patterns.</p><br />Category: Culture<br />Year: 2008<br />Tags: machinima, animation, animated, animate, tv, television, art, xtranormal, secondlife, virtual, virtualworld, 3d, production Alvis Brigis Fri, 17 Oct 2008 04:36:51 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1057 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1057 The Great Lunar War of 2023-2024: Helium-3, Surface Area & Solar Supremacy <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2128/Dyson-Sphere-230.jpg" alt="" /> <em>A soft future fiction scenario.</em></p> <p>By 2020 space had become an unexpectedly crowded place. Catalyzed by evolutionary shuttle design systems, increasingly capable robotics, and super-efficient solar cell technology, mankind&#8217;s Space Reach had expanded considerably. Orbital tourism had exploded, asteroid mining efforts were in their early stages, extra-terrestrial solar harvesting had become the new rage and the race to dominate the extensive lunar <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2008/07/is-helium-3-exp.html">Helium 3 reserves</a> (a critical step toward the seemingly inevitable construction of a <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dyson_sphere">Dyson Sphere</a>) was on.</p> <p>On April 1, 2021 the first lunar construction bots, assembled in orbit using scattered material from the McMullen Asteroid Incident of 2018, and sent forth by private company LunaFacia, parachuted to down to the moon. <em>- Sure, it&#8217;s impossible due to lack of atmosphere, but please suspend your disbelief for the moment. ;)</em></p> <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2120/Moon-Wars-Landing-530.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>Controlled by a mix of on-board AI algorithms and remote instruction from &#8220;pilots&#8221; orbiting the moon in private spacecraft, the multitude of Lunar Bots quickly deployed arrays of fold-out solar cells across the surface of the four major Helium-3 sites. It soon became clear that LunaFacia, a Chinese-funded venture, was systematically laying down the infrastructure for an extensive mining and nuclear energy operation.</p> <p><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2122/Moon-Wars-Solar-Cell-Deploy.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>Of course, the play to dominate lunar Helium-3 did not sit well with the United States and the Russian Federation, the #2 and #3 world economies, and so they formalized the secret Greiner-Blashinsky Lunar Surface Pact and commenced collaborative construction of a similar solar droid army.</p><br />Category: Energy<br />Year: Beyond<br />Tags: 2021, moon, lunar, war, conflict, battle, luna, lunafacia, solarcell, robots, droid, bot, robotarmy, army, space Alvis Brigis Thu, 16 Oct 2008 22:39:29 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1052 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1052 The Symbiont Scenario: Futurist John Smart on the Mental Health Benefits of Remote Peer Networks <p>Systems theorist, futurist and <a target="_blank" href="http://www.accelerating.org">Acceleration Studies Foundation</a> Executive Director <a target="_blank" href="http://www.accelerationwatch.com/bio_johnsmart.html">John Smart</a> presents a near-term scenario in which new comm technologies enable remote peer networks to effectively bond with and support mental patients, assisting in socialization and treatment from a safe distance.</p> <p>Such &#8220;Symbiont Networks&#8221;, as Smart calls them, could be highly effective drivers of mental health, among other things, as they augment standard treatment that can consist of heavy medication and little face time for certain individuals.</p> <p>Here&#8217;s a short clip from my recent interview with John in which he describes a Symbiont Scenario:</p> <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/PycM-0nHv0w&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/PycM-0nHv0w&#38;hl=en&#38;fs=1" height="344" width="425"></embed></object></center> <p>Detractors of the Symbiont Scenario will likely critique the &#8220;dehumanizing&#8221; aspects of distance communication and also point their fingers at unintended consequences. But, though I agree it&#8217;s highly probable that whole new classes of disorders (like autism, <span class="caps">ADHD</span>, etc) will continue to emerge as we co-evolve with the changing environment, I also fundamentally believe that because there&#8217;s no such thing as standing still in an environment of accelerating change it is incumbent upon us to use new technologies to help people, and our system, to self-actualize better.</p><br />Category: Relationships<br />Year: General<br />Tags: johnsmart, smart, symbiont, symbionts, symbiontnetworks, psychology, health, mentalhealth Alvis Brigis Thu, 16 Oct 2008 09:34:31 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1048 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1048 2013: The Year of Ongoing Social Unrest or Strong Tech-Centric Recovery? <p><a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2078/Half-Empty-Half-Full-001.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2078/Half-Empty-Half-Full-001.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p><em>Half Empty, Half Full</em> contrasts extreme positive and negative future scenarios. To create and submit your own <em>Half Empty, Half Full</em> simply follow this <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/show/1039">link</a>, download the template by clicking on the thumbnail, open it in an image editor such as <a target="_blank" href="http://www.gimp.org/downloads/"><span class="caps">GIMP</span></a> (free), then go to town creating totally original Yin &#38; Yang futures.</p><br />Category: Economics<br />Year: 2013<br />Tags: halfemptyhalffull, pessimist, optimist, negative, positive, scenarios, doomsday, utopian, dystopian Alvis Brigis Wed, 15 Oct 2008 11:01:56 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1039 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1039 The Crazy Legs Virus <p><em>A viral marketing campaign unlike any other.</em></p> <p>Despite the Second Great Depression, the early 20-teens saw tremendous advances in communication, agriculture, fuel-efficiency, medicine and especially robotics. By 2016, the resurgent world world had become saturated with interactive projected interfaces, smart light-weight vehicles of all shapes and sizes, farm-bots and a variety of human <a target="_blank" href="http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1571601/prosthetics_changing_lives_and_maybe_the_future/index.html?ts=b606b04fd6d6dd83dae2399d43f37747">Add-ons</a> that both solved serious illnesses and enabled amazing <a target="_blank" href="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2088/Jumper-Crazy_Feet.jpg"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2090/Crazy-Legs-300.jpg" alt="" /></a> new capabilities. It was not uncommon to encounter citizens with artificial fingers, eyes, hearts, livers and even <a target="_blank" href="http://www.innerspacefoundation.com">memory sticks</a>.</p> <p>Most prevalent and readily visible were prosthetic lower legs that replaced the tibia, ankle and foot. At first these had replaced the damaged limbs of injured human athletes, soldiers, accident victims, and those whose bones had simply worn down, but as the non-cyborg population came to appreciate the tremendous running, jumping and long-distance transport abilities that these Add-ons enabled, a growing number of perfectly healthy citizens decided that they too could benefit by upgrading their limbs. The efficiency increase was simply too great to pass up. Instead of buying a car or leasing certain bots, a person could accomplish the same through elective surgery and incorporation of the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.irobot.com">iRobot</a> / <a target="_blank" href="http://www.stryker.com">Stryker</a> co-manufactured lower legs.</p> <p>As such modifications became all the rage it appeared that humans were rapidly heading toward total body replacement. But then, at 4pm <span class="caps">EDT</span>, November 21, 2016 the Crazy Legs virus struck, forever altering the public perception of Add-ons and the prospect of a fully mechanized near-term future.</p> <p>Perpetrated by anonymous <a target="_blank" href="http://searchsecurity.techtarget.com/sDefinition/0,,sid14_gci550882,00.html">white hat</a> hacktivist &#8220;Marty McFly&#8221;, Crazy Legs took advantage of a vulnerability in the Ubuntu Body System short-range encryption signal. The blue-tooth signal connecting the artificial legs to the Brain-Ware was compromised and replaced with new instruction codes. The result was an illegal social choreography that reached a never-before seen scale.</p> <p>Precisely at 4pm every human outfitted with the iRobot/Stryker ver. 2.2 lower limbs started dancing&#8230; uncontrollably.</p><br />Category: Security<br />Year: 2016<br />Tags: crazylegs, legs, prosthetics, prosthetic, extension, cyborg, limbs, virus, computervirus, futurefiction, fiction Alvis Brigis Wed, 15 Oct 2008 10:09:35 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1037 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1037 Scenario Land: Bringing the Future to Life through Fiction & Scenarios <p><b>Hello All &#38; Welcome to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.scenarioland.com">Scenario Land</a>!</b></p> <p>Ever since I got hip to the reality of <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change">accelerating change</a> I&#8217;ve been working to bridge that understanding to the masses. My string of efforts have included blogging, working with the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.accelerating.org">Acceleration Studies Foundation</a> on their powerful conference series and <a target="_blank" href="http://www.metaverseroadmap.com">Metaverse Roadmap Project:</a>, pitching TV shows about the future (in addition to Augmented Reality space adventures &#8211; think <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cbs.com/primetime/big_brother/">Big Brother</a> meets <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spaceballs">Space Balls</a>), and co-launching <a target="_blank" href="http://www.memebox.com">MemeBox</a> with fellow futurist <a target="_blank" href="http://memebox.com/futureblogger/public_blog_post/Jeff+Hilford">Jeff Hilford</a>.</p> <p>And now the real fun begins&#8230;</p> <p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.scenarioland.com"><img src="http://s3.amazonaws.com:/memebox/uploads/2086/scenario-land-530.jpg" alt="" /></a></p> <p>This blog, Scenario Land, is the culmination of my burning drive to make futurism more accessible to the people who just don&#8217;t have the time nor the interest to pore through awesome books like <a target="_blank" href="http://www.naisbitt.com/bibliography/megatrends.php">Mega Trends</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.fourthturning.com/">The Fourth Turning</a>, and <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near">The Singularity is Near</a>. The intent is to strike a balance between entertainment and technical trend analysis, establishing a portal where creative and critical thinkers alike can engage the future together.</p> <p>It&#8217;s a place where you can fearlessly share your thoughts on the world of tomorrow. Whether your strength lies in narrative story-telling, essay writing, illustration, composite imaging, comics, video, machinima or elsewhere, Scenario Land is a broadcast platform that can amplify your visions of the future. If you’ve got a big imagination and a desire to debate the road ahead, this is the place to make that happen.</p> <p>I plan on using it to evolve my simulation of the future and sincerely hope you will do the same.</p><br />Category: Other<br />Year: General<br />Tags: scenarioland, memebox, scanario, scenarios, futurefiction, fiction, debate, alvis, brigis, alvisbrigis Alvis Brigis Wed, 15 Oct 2008 09:35:21 -0400 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1036 http://scenarioland.com/futureblogger/show/1036